Results: Baker-Stanford Study
The joint James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy-Stanford University PESD study on the geopolitical implications of the worldwide shift to natural gas is nearly complete. Final drafts of the individual case studies and working papers — which were presented at the Geopolitics of Gas Conference — are available below, as are several presentations that cover study results and conclusions.
Summary Papers | Case Studies | Economic Modelling | Presentations
Summary Papers
An Analysis of Prospective Developments in the Natural Gas Trade and Geopolitical Implications | Platform Prospectus
Executive Summary of Study Results | Amy Jaffe and David Victor
Historical Case Studies
Factors that Explain Investment in Cross-Border Natural Gas Transport Infrastructures | Mark H. Hayes and David G. Victor
Liquefied Natural Gas from Indonesia: The Arun Project | Fred von der Mehden and Steve Lewis, Rice University.
Algerian Gas to Europe: The Transmed Pipeline and Early Spanish Gas Import Projects | Mark Hayes, Stanford University
The Belarus Connection: Exporting Russian Gas to Germany and Poland | David Victor and Nadejda Victor, Stanford University
Gas Trade in the Southern Cone | David Mares, University of California San Diego
International Gas in Central Asia: Turkmenistan, Iran, Russia and Afghanistan | Martha Olcott, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Liquefied Natural Gas from Trinidad and Tobago: The Atlantic LNG Project | Rob Shepherd and James Ball, Gas Strategies, Ltd.
Economic Modeling
A Global Market for Natural Gas? Prospects to 2035 | Peter Hartley and Kenneth B. Medlock III
Market Structure in the New Gas Economy: Is Cartelization Possible? | Amy Jaffe and Ron Soligo
Presentations
GSB Energy Club ( 19.62 MB )| Presentation given by David Victor and Mark Hayes at the Stanford Graduate School of Business, 10 May 2004.
PESD Moscow Document: English Version ( 2.03 MB ) | Presentation given by David Victor, Nadejda Victor, and Mark Hayes at the Carnegie Endowment Moscow Center, Feb 2004.
*PESD Moscow Document: Russian Version ( 2.07 MB )*
Victor and Hayes ( 2.1 MB ) | Presentation given by David Victor and Mark Hayes at the Energy and Resources Group at the University of California, December 2003.